How Trump’s Win Could Impact U.S. Allies in Ongoing Conflicts

Donald Trump’s return to the presidency could have a big impact on the ongoing wars in the Middle East and Europe, changing strategies and alliances across the globe.

In Israel, leaders quickly celebrated. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called Trump’s win “history’s greatest comeback.” Israel’s right-wing officials believe Trump’s support will strengthen their current military actions in Gaza and could protect them from global pressure to reach a ceasefire.

However, some worry that Trump’s backing might encourage Israel to push further against groups like Hezbollah in Lebanon or even Iran.

In Ukraine, Trump’s victory brings new uncertainty. While Ukrainian officials publicly congratulated him, there are concerns about whether he will continue the Biden administration’s strong support for Ukraine’s defense against Russia.

Trump has praised Russian President Vladimir Putin and has criticized Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, raising doubts about his commitment to Ukraine’s cause. Trump’s plans hint at a possible peace negotiation that may force Ukraine to make concessions it does not want to.

Fawaz Gerges, a professor at the London School of Economics, believes Netanyahu is “betting on Donald Trump” to keep supporting Israel. In his first presidency, Trump offered significant support, like recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. Gerges warns that Trump might give Israel even more freedom in the region, possibly even allowing actions against Iran.

In the Arab world, reactions to Trump’s re-election are mixed. Many Palestinians are skeptical, believing U.S. policy remains the same regardless of who is president. However, some hope Trump could be the one to finally end the violence.

“He’s a man of his word. Once he calls the shots, no one can do anything but obey him,” said 19-year-old Hussam Alsharif, a Palestinian in Gaza who was forced to leave his home due to recent conflicts.

In Ukraine, experts worry that Trump’s approach might encourage Putin, especially since Trump has suggested he could quickly negotiate peace. Ukrainian analysts fear that Trump’s strategy may push Kyiv into an unfair settlement with Russia.

With Russian forces advancing and North Korean troops reportedly helping Russia, Ukrainians are concerned that Trump’s plans may focus more on peace with Russia than on support for Ukraine.

In Moscow, officials expect more unpredictability in U.S. foreign policy under Trump. Some experts believe Putin could be encouraged to expand beyond Ukraine if the U.S. reduces support for NATO.

For both Ukraine and Israel, Trump’s return brings high stakes. His foreign policy decisions in the coming months will reveal whether he will continue supporting U.S. allies or take a new, more independent approach.